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April 23, Wednesday Morning Forecast

Welcome to Wednesday!
Good morning! I'll try to be brief, and then I'll try to be detailed.

Briefly:

For today, temperatures will be back into the 80s again. With passing clouds and winds from the southwest for the central and western panhandles, it's going to feel like late April. For the eastern sections of the area, as the dryline sharpens there will be a chance for showers and thunderstorms - some severe - after 4pm. Amarillo will top out at 88 degrees with no real chance for rain.

In Detail:

For today, as daytime heating and southerly winds usher moisture into the area the dryline will sharpen in some of our eastern counties. The difficult part of this forecast is the models are struggling with the realization that current dewpoints (as of this writing at 2am, the dewpoints are in the 40s and 50s). Depending on which model you look at, storms either erupt at 3pm just east of Amarillo or don't develop until the state line.

Right now, the thinking is that showers and thunderstorms will develop in the eastern column of counties from Beaver county south to Childress county. If you're lucky enough to have one develop over your head, I hope you get some rain before the storms turn severe!

In fact, the threat for heavy rains, large hail and damaging winds will be realized in the same areas as storms continue to strengthen. The tornado threat is quite low this afternoon given that the base of the clouds will be too high. As we head toward sunset though, the atmosphere calms down and a brief spin-up of a weak tornado cannot be ruled out.

Updates will be posted throughout the day and make sure you have your NOAA Weather Radio handy and go download the KAMR NBC 4 weather app to keep you in the know while you're away from your TV or computer!

Morning Meteorologist, Nick Lilja
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